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*China reports that their Q2 GDP slowed to 7.6% on a year on year basis; down from 8.1% the quarter before and one tenth under the forecast. The growth rate is the lowest since Q1 2009; more easing is expected. Also overnight were reports on June Retail Sales, 13.7% year on year or a tenth better than expected, and June Industrial Production at 9.5%, which was a few tenths less than the estimate.
*The final May reading of Japan’s Industrial Production was revised down three tenths from the previous release to -3.4% on a month on month basis.
*The June reading of Switzerland’s Producer and Import Prices is -0.3% month on month, a tenth less deflationary than expected, but the year on year rate, -2.2% matched the forecast.
*Moody’s downgraded Italy’s credit rating this morning by two notches to Baa2 from A3, outlook is negative.
*JP Morgan reported a lot of Q2 data this morning; their eps ex-this and that could be +$1.09, or +67 cents; it depends. But the estimate was for a gain of 76 cents. CEO Dimon says there is a Q2 pre-tax loss from the London Whale trade of $4.4 billion, if this is all in addition to the Q1 loss from this trade than the hit thus far is $6 billion, but maybe not. The company also says it will restate Q1 net by $459 million.
*The June reading of the Producer Price Index is due out at 7:30am CDT. The headline PPI is expected to be -0.5% on a month on month basis and the estimate for the Core PPI is +0.2% on the month. The preliminary July reading of consumer sentiment from the University of Michigan is due out at 8:55am CDT, it is forecast to be 73.5, up three tenths from the final June result.
*The Fed is scheduled to buy Treasuries today that are due to mature between 2/15/36 and 5/15/42; the results of the operation will be announced just after 10:00am CDT.
*Atlanta Fed boss Lockhart is set to speak about the economy at 12:20pm CDT.
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